Survey on the Postponement of a South Sudan Unity Government
On Thursday the 7th of November, South Sudanese President Salva Kiir, and rebel leader Riek Machar jointly announced that no South Sudanese unity government would be formed before the November 12 deadline. A 100-day postponement for the unity government was communicated. Kiir is accused of blocking the formation of a government by not providing funds for, amongst other issues, governance and security arrangements. It is consequently questioned how committed to establishing peace the South Sudanese president is. The formation of a transitional unity government was agreed in a September 2018 peace deal that ended a 5-year civil war in the world’s youngest country which killed nearly half a million people and displaced over 3 million.
Salva Kiir
South Sudan peace agreements, 07/11/2019
-1
Does the decision ameliorate the stability of the international system as a whole or does it lead to greater instability and increased tension?
+ 3Strong increase in international stability
+ 2Moderate increase in international stability
+ 1Slight increase in international stability
0No change in international stability
- 1Slight decrease in international stability
- 2Moderate decrease in international stability
- 3Strong decrease in international stability
-2
Is the decision durable and are there the necessary resources to maintain it over an extended period of time?
+ 3Highly sustainability
+ 2Moderately sustainability
+ 1Slightly sustainability
0Neutral
- 1Slightly unsustainability
- 2Moderately unsustainability
- 3Strongly unsustainability
1
What are the chances that the decision will achieve its prefixed outcome?
+ 3High rate of success
+ 2Moderate rate of success
+ 1Slight rate of success
0Neutral
- 1Slight rate of failure
- 2Moderate rate of failure
- 3High rate of failure
1
How large is the gamble involved in the decision and how drastic would the impact be if the outcome were negative?
+ 3Highly safe
+ 2Moderately safe
+ 1Slightly safe
0Neutral
- 1Slightly risky
- 2Moderately risky
- 3Highly risky
1
Was the decision made along with a larger framework of actors and/or institutional arrangements?
+ 3Highly cooperative
+ 2Moderately cooperative
+ 1Slightly cooperative
0Neutral
- 1Slightly uncooperative
- 2Moderately uncooperative
- 3Highly uncooperative
1
Does the decision acknowledge, consider and respect the interests and identities of other parties?
+ 3Highly inclusive
+ 2Moderately inclusive
+ 1Slightly inclusive
0Neutral
- 1Slightly exclusive
- 2Moderately exclusive
- 3Highly exclusive
1
