November 21, 2019

Survey on the US Administration’s Decision to Recognise Israel’s West Bank Settlement Activity as Consistent with International Law

By Imad Coulibaly

On Monday the 18th, United States Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced the US’ decision to recognise the Israeli presence in the West Bank as legal. Mike Pompeo announced that the Israeli settlement building activity was not inconsistent with international law, highlighting an ulterior rapprochement between American and Israeli views on the geopolitics of the Middle East. The decision which, it can be argued, constitutes another gift by the Trump administration to struggling Benjamin Netanyahu, has polarised many. Netanyahu asserted that Trump ‘fixed a historic wrong’ by reversing a longstanding US policy on the Israeli settlements, whereas others argue that the recognition of the West Bank settlements as legal could foster tension and jeopardise security and peace  in the region.

Mike Pompeo

US recognition of Israel's West Bank settlement building activity, 18/11/2019
-1
Does the decision ameliorate the stability of the international system as a whole or does it lead to greater instability and increased tension?
+ 3Strong increase in international stability + 2Moderate increase in international stability + 1Slight increase in international stability 0No change in international stability - 1Slight decrease in international stability - 2Moderate decrease in international stability - 3Strong decrease in international stability
1
Is the decision durable and are there the necessary resources to maintain it over an extended period of time?
+ 3Highly sustainability + 2Moderately sustainability + 1Slightly sustainability 0Neutral - 1Slightly unsustainability - 2Moderately unsustainability - 3Strongly unsustainability
1
What are the chances that the decision will achieve its prefixed outcome?
+ 3High rate of success + 2Moderate rate of success + 1Slight rate of success 0Neutral - 1Slight rate of failure - 2Moderate rate of failure - 3High rate of failure
2
How large is the gamble involved in the decision and how drastic would the impact be if the outcome were negative?
+ 3Highly safe + 2Moderately safe + 1Slightly safe 0Neutral - 1Slightly risky - 2Moderately risky - 3Highly risky
-2
Was the decision made along with a larger framework of actors and/or institutional arrangements?
+ 3Highly cooperative + 2Moderately cooperative + 1Slightly cooperative 0Neutral - 1Slightly uncooperative - 2Moderately uncooperative - 3Highly uncooperative
-2
Does the decision acknowledge, consider and respect the interests and identities of other parties?
+ 3Highly inclusive + 2Moderately inclusive + 1Slightly inclusive 0Neutral - 1Slightly exclusive - 2Moderately exclusive - 3Highly exclusive
-1
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